Impact of Urban Public Services and Social Integration on the Reproductive Intentions of Migrant Populations: An SEM-ANN Analysis

Resumen

With the accelerated urbanization process in China, the migrant population has become essential to urban society. However, their reproductive intentions are influenced by various factors, particularly the costs of childbearing and issues related to social adaptability. This paper not only explores how urban public services affect the reproductive intentions of migrant populations but also analyzes the mediating role of social integration in this process. Based on the Theory of Planned Behavior and Assimilation Theory, this study utilizes survey data on the reproductive intentions of 391 migrants nationwide, combined with PLS-SEM and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models, to conduct an in-depth analysis of the impact of urban public services, such as education, healthcare, and social security, on reproductive decision-making. The findings indicate that while urban public services partially reduce the costs of childbearing, the mediating effect of social integration on reproductive intentions is more pronounced.